10th November, 2015 - ZNFU Weekly Update and Agro-watch

The views expressed on this blog are the author's own, and do not reflect the views of Concern Worldwide. 

Bits and pieces of the weekly farm news that's fit to use from Agro-Watch, vol. 44 and the Friday Brief. As usual, my additions in red:

Agro-Watch 

Highlights [maize]

• Malawi’s grain marketing agency, ADMARC, adjusted their maize selling prices end of October from 3,000 Malawian Kwacha to K4, 000 per 50Kg bag (approx.US$7.19/50kg bag or Zambian Kwacha 93.5/bag). Maize prices have been rising on the Malawian market due to sporadic supplies with other private traders quoted to be selling for as high as K8, 000/ 50kg bag (≈US$14.38/50kg bag or ZMW187 per 50kg bag).
• With the close of the FRA maize purchase season on 31st October 2015, Zambia’s food reserve agency purchased a total of 596,081MT during the 2015/16 marketing season. Original target was 500,000MT, but their overruns were far less than last year's spectacular 400,000MT purchase ... I suspect the deepening currency crisis and the govt.'s lack of money have as much to  do with this as the smaller amounts available on the market. Pressure has continued to mount from the Millers for government to release maize on the local market at subsidized prices to lower [mealie-meal] prices . They are pressured by Zambia's very substantial urban population (and consequently, the Government ... everyone remembers that Kaunda's downfall was hastened by unavailability of food). So many Zambians purchase mealie-meal, it gets a bit worrisome. The initial indication that maize would be offloaded at K85/50kg bag has been put on ice as government reviews the matter further.
• Indicative local offer prices were averaging ZMW1.6/Kg with the highest offer pegged at ZMW2.3/kg on the ZNFU market price information system.
• Maize mealie-meal 25kg in Mayukwayukwa is selling at K130~140; 10kg is K50~55.

Friday Brief

CENTRAL REGION

METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT CAUTIONS FARMERS

Meteorological Department in central province has urged farmers to approach this season with caution as weather forecasts are showing normal to below normal rains. Felix Imbwae who is the Provincial Meteorological officer for Central Province said this when ZNFU officers visited him at his office. He further said that farmers should consider planting drought resistant varieties and early to medium maturing ones. And Mr. Imbwae has urged farmers to go for conservation farming practices as they remain the best option in times of less rainfall. I wonder which practices; I've realized recently that almost everyone sees (literally) CA as planting basins. Soil cover is an afterthought, and crop rotation an outright puzzle. 

HEAVY DOWNPOUR SENDS FARMERS IN PANIC MOOD

Heavy rains that characterized most parts of central province have sent farmers mostly small scale into serious panic. The start of the rain season has found most farmers unprepared due to challenging circumstances. Funny, it starts pretty much the same time every year. How did this catch farmers unawares? Some farmers have indicated that they expect a challenging farming season due to high inputs prices and delayed FRA payments. Which of course, you can't do without ... right? Meanwhile, some farmers have complained that tractor owners have also taken advantage of the prevailing situation and adjusted prices for Land Tillage upwards. Last year most farmers in the province were charged between k300 to k400 for land tillage per hectare but now it’s between K500 to K650. Ah, the "Dollah" strikes again. Price of everything has climbed, sort of like a run on the bank. Everyone complains when the kwacha (and prices) rises in response to the dollar as they have the same amount of kwacha, albeit it is worth much less.

EASTERN REGION

PETAUKE FARMERS BEMOAN HIGH FERTILIZER PRICES

Farmers in Petauke District have lamented the rapid escalation in fertilizer prices and have since asked the government to intervene in the matter. Not so much the independent yeoman farmers of the Jefferson ideal. Farmers have described the situation as a hindrance to the growth of agriculture sector in the country, adding that if the situation is left unchecked then many rural households will languish in poverty because many of them depend on farming. Again, is there no way to do it without fertilizer? Fertilizer prices have increased by over 100% from last year’s prices. A bit of a stretch, but yes, it has gone up at least 50%. A check by ZNFU in the district found that D Compound was trading at k 420.00 while Urea at K 375.00. I'm surprised it's not worse ... in the West, these are more like K450 and K400.

KATETE RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS

Katete district this week on 3^rd of November 2015 received heavy rains. The rains which lasted for over 3 hours covered the entire district and this caused panic among farmers especially those that have not yet received their payment from the Food Reserve Agency where they supplied their maize. Not much structural agency assigned to farmers, but you see them stuck in the same ruts all the time. Always grow maize. Always sell maize to FRA. Always delayed wait for FRA to pay. Further delays waiting for FISP to arrive. Repeat annually for 8 years. Similarly Nyimba and Petauke districts also received some measured quantities of rains in most parts. 

NORTHERN REGION

FARMERS ANXIOUSLY AWAIT FISP DISTRIBUTION COMMENCEMENT

With the onset of rains, farmers in Mungwi are beginning get worried over the delay in the distribution of FISP inputs to various camps. The chairperson of Mungwi DFA, David Ng’andu has said that the delay in the distribution will negatively affect farming this season. And the DFA chairperson has expressed sadness (my heart does not go out to the better-off farmers who won't get subsidized inputs intended for the poor to whom my heart does go) at the reduced fertilizer allocation to the district at a time when the number of potential beneficiaries is increasing. [The] Government in Zambia is perceived by rural folks as a big yawning pocket full of money, largely because of its poor transparency in terms of how money is spent, and historically, Zambia's full-court press of socialism during the one-party state days. 

So far only Urea fertilizers have been delivered while D compound and seed have not yet been delivered to the district. That's helpful, they need Urea (top-dressing) around Christmas, but the seed and D needs to be around by two weeks ago. Again ... same thing every year. 

LUAPULA REGION

FARMERS BEMOAN DELAYED FRA PAYMENTS

Farmers in Mansa district have expressed disappointment over the delayed payments for the maize they supplied to the Food Reserve Agency (FRA).  The farmers have complained that the Agency had not adhered to the stipulated marketing modalities of paying them within two weeks after delivery of the commodity. Please tell me you notice the same theme I've noticed for over 8 years, and understand why I bemoan and am saddened by the state of farming in Zambia. 

2015-11-03 Bala N'gombe Stage 2

This blog represents the thoughts and opinions of the author, and does not reflect those of Concern Worldwide.

Mash mix:

• 10 L    Chibuku
• 1 L      Lusaka Beer
• 1 kg    Sugar
• 1 pkt.  Brewers yeast

Started/Finished: 

Friday, 30th Oct. / Monday, 2nd Nov.

Mash ABV:

9.7% (approx)

Head contents:
Charcoal from stage 1; flushed with steam for five (5) minutes prior to run;

Times:

1. Start 6:50
2. Slug 7:54
3. Smooth 8:40
4. Shut-down 11:30 

Slug volume:

80-100 mL

Distillate volume:

750 mL

Aging medium:

Muzauli

Notes:

• Caught steady temp at 88C, good flow;
• Filling to bottom of lid caused significant boil-over through head; reduced temps to slow boil.

November 2nd, 2015 - ZNFU Friday Brief, Week #44

The views expressed in this blog are the opinions of the author, and do not reflect the views of Concern Worldwide.

As I peer out the office window, I see what the collective corpus of Zambian agriculture has been waiting to see for a long time; darkness brought on by burgeoning dark clouds and the first breathe of cool air in months. Not 30 minutes I ran out to sow the small plot I've prepared next to the office with Crotalaria (sunnhemp, red and black) and Mucuna (velvet beans); the hope is that they will emerge quickly and overwhelm the other weeds, particularly the nasty couch grass (Cynodon dactylon), the bane of all fertile, tilled land on this new and ancient continent.

This first rain is as eagerly awaited by agriculturalists as I suppose it is by farmers; reason being is that the rural poor tend to be aware of the date, but understandably, fall into something of a lethargic mode due to the heat of October. "understandably" is my concession to the fact that when temperatures hit the low forties Centigrade (around 110 Fahrenheit), your capacity to think, let alone plan and work, is severely limited. The incipient rain breaks this slumber; people shift into high gear, looking for money for seeds, renting oxen / ploughs / tractors, digging ridges / basins (damn things are hard to dig when the soil's bone-dry and rock-hard), etc.

"Oh! the joy." Wrote Clark when  he saw the Pacific. An immense wind carried every dry leave, every loose piece of grass, every mote of dust was carried from west to east (odd direction for the wind to rise). At approximately 16:48 GMT, the skies opened ... and now it's lashing down at a 30 degree angle off vertical. Great relief not to have to water the garden for awhile, though I'm sure there will be issues with the sewerage tonight (things get hardened up and half the drains clog.

ZNFU Friday Brief, Week #44 (my comments in red)

ANNUAL INFLATION RATE HITS 6 YEAR RECORD

Zambia’s annual rate of inflation was recorded at 14.3 percent for the month of October 2015 by the Central Statistical Office. This means that on average, prices increased by 14.3 percent between October 2014 and October 2015.  This is above the September 2015 inflation rate of 7.7 percent. The last time Zambia’s annual rate of inflation was at similar levels was in August 2009.  According to CSO, the sharp increase in the October 2015 inflation rate was as a result of increase in prices of both food and non-food items. Transport recorded the highest price increments of 23.8 percent. The only consumer, price index (CPI) groups that did not record any price increment were housing, electricity, gas and other fuels and communication which were constant in comparison to the other month 

ZNFU APPEARS IN PARLIAMENT TO MAKE SUBMISSIONS ON THE EMPLOYMENT (AMENDMENT) BILL

The Zambia National Farmers’ Union (ZNFU) appeared before the parliamentary committee on Economic Affairs, Energy and Labour to make submissions on the Employment (Amendment) Bill on Thursday 29^th October 2015 at parliament buildings. The Union was happy that the Bill took on board key issues that ZNFU lobbied the Minister of Labour last year during stakeholder consultations. For example, the Bill provides for “seasonal employment” which is defined as employment under a contract of service where timing and duration of the contract is influenced by seasonal factors such as climate, agricultural or business peak cycle. This is good especially for members growing crops such as tobacco that has an 11 months business cycle. Further, the Bill also allows “casual employees” (I refer to them as the hunger serfs), and that this relates to a person whose employment is not permanent in nature; and does not require any skill in the performance of the work done for a period of 6 months.

However, the Union was concerned that employers under fixed term contract would still be required to pay service benefits (such as 3 months basic pay per year served on retirement, 2 months per year served on redundancy, e.t.c. on top of NAPSA service benefits. They have a legitimate beef here ... every month employers pay NAPSA (Natl Pension Scheme)   which is somewhat like Social Security; this  The Union noted that these service benefits are a liability to members as they are not accounted for in taxes because they are future expenses for employers.  In addition, many farmers in Zambia, especially emergent farmers, are not covered by collective agreements and will be unable to create jobs if they have to abide by the minimum wages and conditions of service Act.

I included this because most emergent farm labour is very under the table; the further out you go from the Hub, the more labour is paid in food. It's not a labour market; on the contrary, this year, there's more hungry mouths attached to those idle hands. We were talking to some farmers a few weeks back and they explained you get a basin of cassava for digging a quarter hectare (over half an acre), and that finding work had gotten harder and harder. Concern calls this hidden hunger; there is food around, but many can't get to it. 

2015-11-02 Bala N'gombe, Stage 1

The contents of this blog are the opinions of the author and do not reflect those of his employer, Concern Worldwide.

Mix:

1. Four Cousins, Dry Red x 6L
2. Four Cousins, Sweet Red x 3L
3. 1 Tblsp. anise seed
4. 1 Tblsp. whole cloves
5. 4 sticks whole cinnamon, hand-crushed

Head basket contents: Copalwood (Guibourtia coleosperma) charcoal

Time to distill: 5 hours (split)

Temp (est. off oven thermometer): 88 ~ 92C

Distillate volume: Approximately 750mL (slug 100mL)

Aging medium: Toasted Zambezi teak (Baikea plurijuga)

Proof: Not determined.

October 8th, 2015 - An Ear of Maize Proper

(The views of the author are not those of Concern Worldwide)

This is week two of three weeks of Conservation Agriculture (CA) training to both our own staff, partner staff, and government extension officers. It's a welcome sign that the end to the hiring freeze in the camp staff in 2012 is starting to come to fruition; the back of the conference hall is peopled with young guys who are new to the game and want to make a real change.

However, it's a blast furnace outside in more ways than one; we hit 39C today (great for striding about the room, being the "CA Preacher" as one women called me), and the Zambia mealie-meal market, off the lease since 2013, has started to follow everything else on a upward trajectory, as reported by the Post today.

I refer again, as I always do, to the Zambian Coat of Arms (downloaded from Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coat_of_arms_of_Zambia#/media/File:Coat_of_arms_of_Zambia.svg):

Having learnt about one of the more obscure part of any coat of arms, e.g., the compartment (the landscape upon which the supporters stand) for this coat of arms is designated as: "Green earth, and an ear of maize proper".

An ear of maize proper. If you haven't grasped this by now, dear reader (hi Mom), an ear of maize proper is the common denominator in this country. It is the gantry in whose shadow all other foods and/or crops appear Lilliputian. And now that great green edifice is crumbling; cracks are shooting up the walls, the ground heaves, and mealie-meal hikes upwards.

Maize as a staple food is the foundation of Mazlow's [Zambian] Hierarchy in that physiologically, Zambians must consume maize to survive (the reach of Zea mays up to and possibly into Self-actualization are both scary and tangential). When mealie-meal climbs, a shockingly urbanized nation starts to grumble in ways that ZESCO's load shedding / tariffs hikes and climbing import prices have yet to plumb.

September 28th, 2015 - Presidential Address to Parliament (19th Sep)

The views expressed by the author are his alone and do not reflect the views of Concern Worldwide. 

Notes from ZNFU Agro-Watch, volume #37 (Sep 22nd) ... author's comments in red. 

Cost of Agricultural Inputs Making Zambia Uncompetitive:

H.E Edgar Lungu The Republican President, His Excellency Edgar C. Lungu, opened the 5th session of the 11th National Assembly on Friday 18th September 2015. In his maiden speech, the President stated that Zambia needed to capitalize on its resources in order to become a regional agricultural hub and a global exporter of processed agricultural products. Some of the salient point made, with respect to agriculture, in the 74 paged speech include:

• Zambia’s high cost of production needed to be addressed. The dependence on imported inputs is making the country’s agricultural produce uncompetitive. There is thus need for more investment in local manufacturing of agricultural inputs. My guess is that they are referring to fertilizers which are inherently costly due to the fact that Zambia has a) no oil [it comes off tankers from Dar-es-Salaam], and b) a limited capacity to produce nitrogenous fertilizers, which in lieu of better farming practices, are to the average farmer the equivalent of a powerful drug to an addict. Without fertilizers and hybrid maize (also largely pegged in dollars, which is currently killing my project), there is essentially little hope of a marketable surplus barring expenditure in land and labour resources.

• The piloting of the Electronic Voucher System in 13 districts under the Farmer Input Support Programme; Only about five years or so after they FIRST promised to use it ... wonder how it will go this time around? The idea is good, but disliked by local party politicians, as it deprives them of a major opportunity for "gift-giving" at the rural level. 

• Directive to the the ministers responsible for Finance and agriculture to come up with a mechanisation Programme for small-scale farmers working in Collaboration with the private sector and civil society. This is with the aim of making small-scale farmers more self-sufficient; Admirable, but always curious ... those who can afford mechanization typically use it; those who can't, don't. How will the private sector work around that? Also, how does that lend itself to self-sufficiency? 
• Government will bring about 5,000 ha of land under irrigation each year to mitigate against the effects of climate change. 
• The movement of the Department of Cooperatives to the Ministry of Commerce, Trade and Industry from the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock;
• Government plans to establish 13 milling plants nationwide to be managed by ZNS and Zambia Cooperative Federation (wait ... how will this help the private sector? A return to government-subsidized, artificially low-cost (and likely poorly run) milling companies will effectively subsidize consumption, pulling production along with it. Mono-cropping 25, crop diversity -10.
• Government plans on doubling the number of livestock breeding centers from the current 10 to 20 by 2023. The Breeding centers will be for mostly goats and sheep, targeting the huge goat and sheep market in the Middle East. Hope no one informs Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, South Sudan, Kenya, Ethiopia, Tanzania, or Kenya of this plan, as they are a bit closer and have in some cases, ocean access. Are we going to truck or fly these goats? 
• The Sanitary and Phyto-sanitary Standards should be strengthened and strictly enforced to ensure that agricultural produce being sold on the market are safe and of good quality. I would ask, what's in it for the farmer to achieve phyto-sanitary acceptable foods? 
• Government is in the process of establishing two fish hatcheries in each province in order to support growth of fish farming. Further, government will establish one community fish fingerling nursery in each District and also train 1,400 fish farmers in fish Feed production. This is with the target of the nation reaching fish self- sufficiency in the next three years through an annual production of 80,000 tons of fish from fish farming and 90,000tons from natural fisheries. Okay, I hope they find some new rivers or lakes out there, because Luapula is fished out and the Barotse Floodplains are not that far behind. I also wonder if they are going to revamp Dept. of Fisheries into a going concern.

The republican President further stated that the country would soon ratify the Tripartite Free Trade Area which would make Zambia part of the largest Free Trade Area in Africa and that the nation was part of the negotiations for the Continental Free Trade Area which would offer a bigger market access to Zambian Entrepreneurs and innovators.

On Energy, H.E Chagwa Lungu indicated that despite the low water levels in Lake Kariba and the Kafue River the power shortage has been occasioned by Zambia's inability over the years to attract new investment in Electricity generation on account of the low electricity Tariffs. Government hopes that the revision of retail tariffs upwards from an average of 5.64 to 10.35 cents per kilowatt hour will attract more investments in the energy sector, particularly for those interested in renewable energy sources such as solar, wind and waste-energy projects. Hmmm ... those low tariffs purchased a lot of nice cars over at ZESCO. Also wonder if it's the slipping exchange rate which puts import costs (of which much of ZESCO infrastructure is reliant upon) way to high for them to afford conductors, transformers, etc.

In addressing the concerns over Zambia slipping back into a debt trap, the Republican President stated that the Zambian economy has grown from a US$ 3 Billon GDP in 2005 to a US$28 billion today and that the country was well within the acceptable international threshold of 40% of the Gross domestic product. He further stated that the nation had borrowed for long term investments that would spur national growth. In other words, China needs to get back on-track and purchase copper at $6,000/ton or we're in for it.

The theme of the President’s address was “Embracing a Transformational culture for a smart Zambia Now.” No time like the present.

September 7th, 2015 - Into the furnace

The views of the author are his alone and do not necessarily represent the views of Concern Worldwide.

The Zambian Kwacha has been on something of a climb lately; we’re used to it creeping upwards, but over the past two weeks it went from 7ish to almost 10. It is a bit breath-taking to watch a currency drop 40% of its value in less than a month. The timing is crummy for us, as farm input prices are figured in dollars; this means the kwacha equivalent of a $10,000 tender on Aug. 15^th, for example, is now worth $6,000. We are likely to have a big underspend at the end of the year simply from inflation. We also run the risk of suppliers breaking off contracts, a worrying prospect given the time it takes to do everything by the book. A brief aside, but larger NGOs are notoriously obligated to document the living daylights out of everything, and procedures typically are quite convoluted and usually paper-based. They are ostensibly designed to keep things accountable and transparent; what I know of them is that they keep things from happening quickly or simply.

The government, or rather, the President, has responded appropriately by declaring two new districts in Northwestern Province. The government also took a big chunk of its latest Eurobond to pay against obligations (much against civil servant emoluments that have been delayed) with the hope that pumping hard currency into the economy will slow the fall. It has a bit of wishful thinking involved; forces much larger than Zambia, e.g., the slowdown in the Chinese economy and hence, the lower demand for copper, means less revenues from the resource that erstwhile scholars such as moi consider much more of a curse than a blessing.

In the meantime on the maize front, the Food Reserve Agency raised its price for a 50kg of maize from K70.00 to K75.00 on what appeared to be a spur-of-the-moment announcement by the President at the Lusaka airport. This was something worth pondering a few weeks ago when K7.00 ZMW was equal to $1USD, hence a bag of maize equalled $10.00; now, K10.00 = $1USD, so that same bag is worth $7.50; wonder how much will end up in the market, which adjusts its prices a bit more vigorously.

ZESCO continues to be the punch-bunny for the public’s angst against the government, as ZESCO is a parastatal. If you scroll back through my older posts, I likely explain what a parastatal is multiple times, but just in case: parastatals are government-run companies. A Zambian technocrat would likely get upset over my semantics, as in the one-party state days, parastatals were government-owned and -run. Anyway, there are few of them left after the orgy of liberalization in the late 90’s that along with the AIDS pandemic left the Zambian landscape a wasteland. Unfortunately, they hung on to ZESCO; Zambia (used?) to get loads of foreign currency by selling power, and it’s a patronage thing … working in ZESCO appears to be a golden ticket given the number of nice cars in there parking lots, and the fact that they have parking lots.

Travelled to Mongu today on the Shalom bus; as usual, it was a numbing, nine hour assault on my senses with endless loop of either gospel or rhumba playing at full volume in order to be heard over the engine and the noise of the dry wind coming through cracked windows to keep the bus from becoming unbearable. Was unnaturally hot in Mongu at 16:30 when we arrived; I later checked our station and found out it peaked around 37° C (99° F) just before that. We are in for it in a big way if it’s already that hot … can’t imagine what October will be like.