11 January 2016 - 30 Days to Go

The views expressed on this blog are those of the author along, and do not reflect the views of his employer, Concern Worldwide.

Happy New Year's! You patient and erstwhile readers ... 

My last day of work for Concern Worldwide Zambia is 29th January, and I have a plane ticket home booked on the 10th February. Goodbye, Zambia after 12 years. As such, I made a solemn oath to myself to write a blog post and journal entry every day, if for nothing else to remember sometime in the dim and likely more brutal future what I was experiencing these last few weeks. 

It is strange; in some ways, the process of disengaging oneself from a place and a context of cultures (Lozi, Tonga, Kaonde, Lala, Indian, White African, Chinese, ex-pat, et cetera) is that you run through the process of engagement, albeit in reverse. Maybe it's the odd way my mind works ... but separating yourself from what everyday amateur sociologists refer to as a "space" brings you back up the path from where that space was normal. E.g., you start to shed your expectations / assumptions of how people behave, how the world should work, how to begin and end things, how to speak with someone, and so on. In my case, I have become far less stressed and far more forgiving because there is an end (at least here) to the crazy results-based tilt-a-whirl that you climb on in the donor-funded development world. On the 29th, I will climb off, handover the reins to my replacement, and have 12 days to blink and think, and to wonder to myself, as I do over most of my memories ... Was it all real? Did I do that? How did I do that? What happened to all those people? Did I make a difference? Will they remember me? 

Unfortunately, deep pondering is something I can little afford whilst trying to sell my worldly possessions (mainly a car, a bicycle, and a bookshelf), handing over 12 years of agroecological experience, and looking for a new job in my soon-to-be new home, Washington, D.C. Hence the necessity and the catharsis ingrained in typing these things out ... it's 20-40 minutes where part of me steps back and views the passage of this vessel through this life, and marks somewhat cohesively which course it chose and why.

Outside of my head, we traveled en-masse from Lusaka to Mongu in one of the agency's Land Cruisers yesterday, leaving at 8:20a and arriving at 5:20p (17:20hrs). Along the way, it started raining west of Kaoma, and it rained intermittently for the rest of the journey. Mongu is a lovely place when it rains; the sandy streets and shoulders of the main roads flatten out and become hard enough to walk upon easily; the air clears of its load of dust and soot, and the grass! Oh, does it grow ... especially in the semi-divinity of the floodplains and along it's margins, the matongo and shishanjo areas.

Before leaving, I took a swipe (pardon the upcoming pun) at what some friends of mine at Grassroots Trust have been promoting and to which I'm slowly signing onto ... the idea that instead of the usual digging operation that is inherent in Zambian weeding cultivation, e.g. "hoeing" or "weeding", you engage in slashing the weeds in the interrow (the space between the lines of maize). I learned this entirely from my friend Sebastian Scott, who like me keeps something of a blog on how to do agriculture in a way that is ultra-conservative of organic matter, inclusive of weed growth. To make a long story short, I intercropped orange maize with black sunnhemp, a heavy nitrogen fixer in our small plot next to our office in Kalundu. Though we've had limited rains in Lusaka, my raking the area into rough terraces and the shade from the trees in the area have helped the maize, and it is surprisingly healthy. Anyway, after watering the little office garden (more on that some other time), I had 30 minutes to slash the sunnhemp down, though  being the total idiot that I am, I neglected to take before (only after) photos.

So what you are looking at is the remnants of the weeds that were before slashing at the same height as the maize. though I am by no means experienced with the one-handed slasher common in Zambia, it was relatively quick to figure out how to slash, e.g. a short swing, standing behind one row of maize and slashing the next, etc. What's left behind is a green mulch that hopefully with contact with the wet soils add a bit of nutrients to the slightly nitrogen deprived maize. More importantly, however, is the increase in light reach the maize leaves vis-a-vi the decrease in shading by plants in the interrow. Last, but not least, I was impressed by the ease of it ... rather than being hunched over hoeing, digging and lifting a blunt piece of dumb iron, I was upright swinging the slasher in short strokes. Noticeably harder on the forearms, but I would trade that any day for the ache in the back, the sore hands, the exhaustion and the time.

Anxious to see how this turns out. 

January 1st, 2016 - A Bleak Start to the New Year

The views expressed on this blog are the author's alone and do not reflect the views of his employer, Concern Worldwide.

Lusaka remains cursed by sunshine on this dawn the New Year in Zambia. Sitting up last night with friends listening to Zambians shooting off fireworks in the revelry, we looked up a sky chock full of stars and reflected on the oddity of that; typically, this time of year is cloudy, gray, cool, rainy, etc. Instead, we've had bright, blue, hot, dry, etc. To this day, I still cannot puzzle out the workings of the ITCZ, but the best I can figure is that current ENSO (el Nino) is holding the zone in a kinked, stable position ... this means that the frontal boundary (for lack of a better word) moist air that brings rain is not moving south from a roughly in a east-west line centered on Kabwe. Though Zambia historically has a increasing rainfall gradient as you move south-to-north, this year it seems to be less of a smooth linear, and rather a sudden step from too dry to too wet; further, the dry areas are mostly in the West and South.

This has piled on to the crummy rainy season those same areas had in 2014/2015 (which I can now safely refer to as "last year's season"). Most of those areas, particularly in Western Province, were long-ago declared "disaster drought" (GRZ, inclusive of nearly every district survey other than Mongu) or "stressed" (in the terminology of FEWSNET). My friends in the southwestern arc of the Upper Zambezi (e.g., Kazangula, Mwandi, Sesheke) along the Botswana and Namibian border told me over the Holidays that there aren't many words left to describe how bad it is there; ominously, their planting rains never really started, so much of their maize is already dead before the V3 stage. Long and short, people are desperately hungry and have been for quite some time; unfortunately, this year seems to be shaping up to be a bad one in both buLozi and buTonga.

Funny enough, no one seems to notice. There's really been nothing in the papers, including the Post, which has turned its back on the "Real PF" and returned to its virulently anti-ruling party roots; nothing from the donor community; nothing from the government outside of what anecdotal evidence suggests is entirely stochastic; nothing from the Barotse Royal Establishment. It's a wall of silence that is deafening in its sheer immensity, behind which despairing people are perched on a precarious cliff of hunger; it's only so much time before the West and South face the full-blown spectre of starvation. Those same people's (at least strong and healthy enough to do so) efforts are fully in engaged in warding off that hunger with any means at hand, meaning the natural environment is taking the worst beating in years. The so-called "Fish Ban", the eponymous policy that forbids capture fishing of wild fish stocks in virtually all forms between December 1st. and March 1st, is now in its second year of being totally, even brazenly, ignored. Charcoal burning is so rampant that finding Julbernardia or Brachestygia specimens of any size within 50km of Mongu is now an impossibility. Logging has increased exponentially within the five years I have been in Western, particularly of the Guibourtia coleosperma (Zambezi rosewood, copalwood, false mopane) ... baulks measuring a meter square and at least 2.5 meters long are being hauled out of the Kalahari woodlands to the main road in at least four places that I observed last month. In that sense, the lack of capital is driving localized environmental degradation that exacerbates any potential global climate change, and kneecaps future generations ability to utilize those same resources.

And the poorer? The poorest? The single female mothers? The elderly raising a household of orphans? I see them each time I go out in the field; their eyes betray the slow panic that is the constant twinge of hunger that is never dissipated and rarely dulled. Waking up dizzy and out of sorts, wondering where to look for some daily labor to try to feed their family, hoping that they can manage the work on the one to three hours of available energy they have, leaving nothing in the tank for tilling their own land. How do you plan in that state? How do you adopt a new technology? And yet they remain, cursed with the Zambian trait of waiting on government, hoping the truck comes their way, hoping they get a food pack.

I distinctly remember the late President Michael Sata declaring early in his presidency that where there was hunger, there could be no justice. It is my fervent hope that the government will recall that statement and see fit to be just.

Dec. 18, 2015 - Ruminations on CA (my day-to-day)

The opinions expressed below are the author's alone and do not express the views or opinions of his employer, Concern Worldwide.

Just wanted to plop this down, this are some of the things I ponder on the given day-to-day following visits to beneficiaries. It has been an interesting five years, moving one's head from discussions at this level to the visceral day-to-day of the everyman and everywoman farmer. Putting them together is what makes my head spin. 

Sorry for the delay, power has been an issue.

As per D’s email and our discussion, question #2 around the adoption of CA is very interesting but very large, particularly given that CA is three principles that are something of a goal for farmers to achieve by what could be diverse paths (e.g., there are numerous ways to achieve minimum tillage). However, often what tangles up the question of adoption for many CA promoters is why aren’t people adopting “our” way of achieving minimum tillage, soil cover and crop rotation.

A case in point: Why don’t more non-beneficiaries dig basins? Don’t people generally see the improvements from the practice on another’s field? Currently, we target a specific group of beneficiaries (the extreme poor), they receive trainings and inputs, then dig basins in which they apply the inputs and plant the seeds we’ve given them. Typically, those beneficiaries will carry on some of the practices we promote over the longer term, particularly around digging basins for maize production. However, most non-beneficiaries won’t dig basins … as far as we can tell, they are waiting for participation in the programme (e.g. the attention given to beneficiaries in terms of inputs and training). We noted this week that our even better-off lead farmers have almost no concept of “projects”, project lifetime or the hard facts around funding … consequently, they are often confused why projects come to an end before the entire community has been included in a project. Put shortly, we need to examine our approaches to promoting CA as well as the barriers to what we are promoting, otherwise our promotion in and of itself may be a barrier to adoption.

To put a fine point on it, we know that there are considerable barriers that hinder the adoption of certain practices, even within beneficiaries (I know it is not attractive to Accenture, but the preliminary work we’ve done with consumption support suggests that not only are most people food insecure during the farming season, they operate on such an empty tank that it’s amazing they dig any basins). However, I think what we need to take a longer view of:

a.       The various farming systems, landscapes, etc. (agroecology) to understand primarily why people do what they currently do and what would be the most appropriate CA-related interventions;

b.      How knowledge and information is shared among people (e.g., group, individual, parent to child, etc., etc.)

c.       How to approach (a) utilizing those knowledge networks (b) to plan and design your programme. 

As for research question #3, there’s parts that I think are extremely valuable in a business case, which my brain boils down to primarily “Money invested in farmer < Money realized by farmer” and secondarily as “Farmers doing CA GHG emissions < Farmers not doing CA GHC emissions”. We generally would see that, but we have to assume (as is sadly the case now in Western Province) that food aid is not reaching most of our communities; from what I hear on the ground, relief packs are trickling in, but packs are being split between two families. However, we do know that most of our farmers are net buyers of food and/or engage in daily labour “piecework” in hopes of achieving their daily bread. If we’re looking at return on investments, I feel we need to consider those as outcomes vs. an abstract measure of food aid (e.g., does an investment in a farmer in CA mean they spend less money on food and less on piecework in the next season.

Another point on the GHGs specifically to the Zambia, much of the impact of last years’ drought was the sharp uptick in charcoal production across the southern half of the country, which is significant for a country with one of the top five deforestation rates in the world. There is something of an argument as to whether charcoal production is demand-driven or supply-driven given our issues with ZESCO, but I would posit that most farmers who don’t have to make charcoal would not make charcoal, but have little other option in light of their HH needs for food, school fees, etc.  Long and short, what would a reduction in charcoal burning do to our GHG balance / emissions?

Lastly, I would narrow down the scope of the first bullet because we need to be cognizant of the difference between economic demographic levels and how that might influence the opportunity costs, rates of return, etc. What we’re picking up (and is a good example of “everything is obvious [once you know the answer]”) from our consumption support pilot is that crop diversification (and derived from that, rotation) is hindered by lack of seeds on one hand, but also the simple mathematics of hunger on another … e.g., when you have roughly two hours of kilojoules available, you focus all of those on your crops that will provide the most kilojoules (maize and cassava). What I’m saying is that I’d rather we avoid repeating the studies I’ve read that look at “CA” vs. “conventional ag” ceritas paribus, e.g. one that is independent of place, and is not cognizant of a household’s capability to measure and make long-term decisions.

Sorry for going on at length.

18 November, 2015 - No rains yet ... and ... ZNFU Agro Watch Notes

This blog represents the views of the author alone, and does not reflect the opinions of his employer, Concern Worldwide. 

Greetings, again dear readers wherever or whoever you may be.

We are still awaiting the "planting rains", three days after a singularly important day on two levels for me as an agriculturalist in Zambia, and as a Yooper. November 15th to the 25th is highly critical for Zambian farmers as it represents the optimal planting window for maize. Why? I'll summarize a few hours worth of training into a few bullets:

• Nitrogen flush:   Once rains kick off, the air and soil temperatures drop off precipitously (a brief aside ... last week I was in mid-40s C temps in Liuwa Plains NP, Kalabo, Mongu, Senanga, Sesheke, Livingstone, and Chirundu ... maybe I'll write briefly about ringing the west and south, maybe not. Anyway, the precipitous drop means soil temps go down to low 30s/high 20s ... still plenty of heating units even in mulched soils). Once these temps drop (and some moisture comes into play), saprotrophs and heterotrophs start breaking down organic material in the soil, which is then  mineralized into plant available forms (plants don't chew raw nutrients ... they suck it up as a solution, another reason moisture is key). Anyway, flush is the real word ... it's there and gone in a hurry as our soil temps are generally high, and in farmed fields, the tradition of burning crop residues prior to planting reduces available organic matter. The microbes essentially eat and reproduce themselves out of house and home in a hurry, even faster if they till the soil (which increases oxidation and mineralization rates by aerobic bacteria. Anyway, long and short is that if you can catch that flush, especially in maize, you get a huge boost in the critical first four weeks of the plant growth, effectively developing a much more effective photosynthetic engine. 

• Daylength:  Maize is a sun-loving plant; not a surprise, given the demands it puts on the photosynthetic outputs (big stalk, heavy cobs, etc). We don't see this much in temperate climes as we have comparatively long summer days (heat and degree days are more the problem). However, in Zambia, days range from 13 hours in the summer (with longer in the south) to 11 hours in the winter. Catching as much sun as possible means more photosynthetic output, and consequently, a bigger plant. Some estimates show that yield loses from planting after November 25th equal 2% of potential yield per day (!). Also, and I'm wandering out onto thin ice, but maize often flowers (depending on the genotypes) based off the daylength, which can mean some plants may flower prior to being "ready" (growth-wise) to flower. It, like all aspects of maize, are somewhat strange and fascinating ... a great thesis from a Zambian student at Iowa State in the late 1980s explains somewhat why tropical maize grown in the temperate zones gets really big (leafy) but produces little (something I've observed as well). 

• Rain: This damnable ENSO (el Nino) event is going to make life miserable for farmers despite rainbows, prayers, days of fasting, etc. (Appealing to the Almighty is understandable and I often do so myself, but the extent that it actively destroys agency and responsibility gets a bit wearisome). Anyway, we are going to have short (late start, early finish) rains, and likely low annual accumulations between October and April, the months in which nearly all the rain falls and which we typically measure. The earlier you plant, and combined with the above, the more of that rain you catch, the better the yield. 

Long and short, plant early ... and not just maize! 

Notes from ZNFU Friday Brief (Week 46) (My notes in red text):

The Minister of Agriculture, Hon. Given Lubinda, MP has assured maize farmers in Zambia that maize markets will still be available for the 2015/2016 crop despite the increasing input costs that farmers are currently experiencing. The Minister said this when ZNFU President, Dr Nguleka and her team presented an Issues paper on the increasing costs of maize production for the 2015/2016 crop at the Ministry of Agriculture on Friday 13^th November 2015. The Minister assured maize farmers that government will allow market forces (demand and supply) to operate in order to ensure farmers get a better price for their crop. Hon. Lubinda observed that farming is a business and government will continue to provide a conducive environment aimed at encouraging further investment in the sector.

I was at the recent IAPRI conference for Western and Southern Provinces (same day) and he (Hon. Lubinda) was in attendance. Welcome relief (I'm on Minister of Agriculture #4 or 5 since 2010) as he seems fairly straightforward, though no one could ever match Bob Sichinga's sensayuma. Anyway, if they want farming to be a business, GRZ needs to pull out of both FISP and FRA. Lubinda gets that, but maize subsidies are like holding the proverbial political wolf by the ears: you don't like it, but you sure as hell don't want to let go.

SUNFLOWER PRODUCTION: THE BLOOMING INDUSTRY

The oilseed stakeholders met on 11^th November at the ZNFU offices to review the market situation of soya beans and other oilseeds. Whilst expressing appreciation the importance of maintaining export relations, the stakeholders agreed that there was need for stakeholder consultations before any exports of soya beans could be allowed so as to support the growth of the soya beans value chain. During the deliberations, the farmers indicated that there was need for traders and processors to enter into pre-planting contracts with the farmers, as uncertainty over the markets affects the farmer’s decision on what quantities of the crop to grow. The farmers were assured that demand of soya beans would be high in 2016 and that some off-takers were ready to sign supply contracts with the farmers.

The stakeholders were informed that there was readily available sunflower market with the demand in 2015 projected at least 50,000MT by oilseed crusher with a potential to expand further should supply increase. Farmers were encouraged to grow high oleic sunflower varieties to attract premium prices.  Stakeholders however bemoaned the inadequate supply of high yielding sunflower seed varieties on the local market and proposed that seed companies should be engaged for sustainable growth of the sunflower industry.

I take some pride in being part of the introduction of sunflowers into Western Province in 2010 and 2011. However, despite it growing fine (if planted early) in Zambia with minimal inputs and efforts, it is still planted on a relatively low scale. The whole out-grower scheme would be ideal but for the fact that our farming season straddles the fiscal year turnover. The farmers have it right on this; knowing the price in advance would likely guarantee production, as marketing points for sunflower are not nearly as ubiquitous as maize.

 2015 WHEAT PRODUCTION ESTIMATED AT OVER 300,000 TONS

The ZNFU wheat and barley commodity committee met on Thursday 12^th November 2015 to review the 2015 wheat production estimates. Based on information captured through satellite imagery, the total area under wheat in 2015 was 46,156 hectares out of which, 42,564Ha was observed to be normal, 1,916Ha had somewhat stressed/below average wheat while 1,675ha had stressed wheat. The total production has been estimated at 309,100 of wheat while the 2015 barley crop harvest has been pegged at 8,800tons. The farmers expressed concern on the high levels of uncommitted wheat crop still available in the farmers’ hands with little propensity by the millers to purchase the crop. The meeting was further informed that the estimated national wheat consumption requirement is 387,193MT. It was however highlighted that due to load shedding, indication from the millers was that while there have been some attempts to invest in alternative sources of power, their normal production levels had dropped by about 30%. It was further stated that demand for flour and flour products was being affected by the rising cost of living.

Just a note ... nearly all wheat is grown by a relative handful of very large scale farmers (inclusive of quite a number of white ex-Zimbabweans) under pivot irrigation. It's sown just after the rains and irrigated throughout the early part of the dry season, then matures and dries under the later, hotter part of the dry season; usually they combine it in early October. It still is the strangest thing to go from a farmer working with a hoe on a quarter hectare to a person operating a 50 foot combine through 250ha of wheat in the same day.

WATER SHORTAGE HITS COPPERBELT

Copperbelt like many other districts in the country has experienced low water levels ever recorded with most perennial streams and wells drying up. Farmers in the countryside have expressed worry over the water crisis as most of their livestock depend on streams and wells for their water. Farmers have to walk long distances to fetch for water.  Others have resorted to drive to nearby towns to draw water in drums for their livestock, and for domestic use. A Mr. Mwale of Mufulira Murundu farming area explained that for the first time, he has witnessed a perennial stream drying up. "This is very sad, my animals are dying, vegetables completely wilting" Mr Mwale lamented. 

Meanwhile, a group of farmers in Ndola have mobilised themselves and have requested the regional office to assist in finding a borehole driller and negotiate the prices so that they can have boreholes in their farms as a measure to mitigate the water crisis. And a named borehole driller has since been approached and negotiations are currently underway.

Good thing climate change is just a myth ... right? More like what my friend Rolf Shenton says; Zambia's capacity to absorb rain is being destroyed as forests fall to charcoal and farms.

KATETE DC DISSOLVES ERRING CAC COMMITTEE

The District Commissioner for Katete district has dissolved the Camp Agriculture Committee (CAC) for Chilembwe Agricultural Camp after discovering that the CAC committee and the Camp Extension Officer could not account for k 20,000.00 contribution made by Cooperatives and other farmers groups for CAC activities. The CAC committee could not also account for 138 packs of fertilizer under the Farmer Input Support Program (FISP) which were allocated to the agricultural camp. During the meeting held on 6^th November 2015 the area Councilor for Chimwi Ward appealed to the DC through the DACO to consider replacing the Camp Extension Officer.

Typical FISP ... usually it doesn't get reported.

E-VOUCHER CARDS DISTRIBUTION ON COURSE

The distribution of FISP e-voucher in Mumbwa district has so far gone well with over 75% of the cards already issued to beneficiary farmers. More than 12,000 cards have been issued to the beneficiaries against the intended 16,239 beneficiaries as the exercise continues.

As usual, behind schedule ... 

At the same meeting last week, I was somewhat surprised by the tacit, subtle resistance to the e-vouchers, which have been in play by FAO, CFU, hell, even Concern since 2007ish. It's a relatively simple thing ... you get a credit card sized voucher with a fixed value, take it to a participating agrodealer, and redeem inputs against the value of that card ... agrodealers get paid fairly quickly, and there's zero transport costs to the government (the farmers collect the voucher). However, standard FISP distribution is a powerful expression of gift-giving (go read My African Friends and Money Matters) that accrues repute to the giver. Power. That's the tall beer. I have it figured they want it to fail because it deprives them of that power.

However, the exercise has faced a minor challenge in one agriculture camp of the district where a few farmers could not collect their cards due to some unexplained religious conviction. The farmers who could not pick up the cards belong to Mpusu Agriculture Camp north of Mumbwa district.

Huh...

FARMERS’ REPRESENTATIVE CALLS FOR INTRODUCTION OF THE FISP E-CARD IN ALL DISTRICTS

Kabompo District Farmers' Association (DFA) chairman, George Munyingu, has called on government to extend the use of the FISP e-voucher card to other districts in the country. Speaking during the Kabompo DFA executive committee meeting on Wednesday this week, Mr. Munyingu said the use of the e-card will bring sanity in the implementation of the FISP exercise. He further added that the use of the e-card will eliminate a lot of discrepancies currently being experienced under the FISP program. He cited some farmer organizations which do not have proven membership but are receiving huge amounts of input packs thereby disadvantaging real farmer organisations.

Read that vs. the bit above. Farmers like it because they are more in control of when they get their inputs.

FISP BENEFICIARY FARMERS STILL WAITING FOR SEED INPUTS

All the districts in North Western B region have not received the allocated seed. A check at the storage sheds in various districts found warehouse managers still waiting to receive the seed. The affected districts are Chavuma, Kabompo, Manyinga and Zambezi.

Another reason to switch to e-cards ... waiting on other people sucks.

Remember the poor.

September 7th, 2015 - Into the furnace

The views of the author are his alone and do not necessarily represent the views of Concern Worldwide.

The Zambian Kwacha has been on something of a climb lately; we’re used to it creeping upwards, but over the past two weeks it went from 7ish to almost 10. It is a bit breath-taking to watch a currency drop 40% of its value in less than a month. The timing is crummy for us, as farm input prices are figured in dollars; this means the kwacha equivalent of a $10,000 tender on Aug. 15^th, for example, is now worth $6,000. We are likely to have a big underspend at the end of the year simply from inflation. We also run the risk of suppliers breaking off contracts, a worrying prospect given the time it takes to do everything by the book. A brief aside, but larger NGOs are notoriously obligated to document the living daylights out of everything, and procedures typically are quite convoluted and usually paper-based. They are ostensibly designed to keep things accountable and transparent; what I know of them is that they keep things from happening quickly or simply.

The government, or rather, the President, has responded appropriately by declaring two new districts in Northwestern Province. The government also took a big chunk of its latest Eurobond to pay against obligations (much against civil servant emoluments that have been delayed) with the hope that pumping hard currency into the economy will slow the fall. It has a bit of wishful thinking involved; forces much larger than Zambia, e.g., the slowdown in the Chinese economy and hence, the lower demand for copper, means less revenues from the resource that erstwhile scholars such as moi consider much more of a curse than a blessing.

In the meantime on the maize front, the Food Reserve Agency raised its price for a 50kg of maize from K70.00 to K75.00 on what appeared to be a spur-of-the-moment announcement by the President at the Lusaka airport. This was something worth pondering a few weeks ago when K7.00 ZMW was equal to $1USD, hence a bag of maize equalled $10.00; now, K10.00 = $1USD, so that same bag is worth $7.50; wonder how much will end up in the market, which adjusts its prices a bit more vigorously.

ZESCO continues to be the punch-bunny for the public’s angst against the government, as ZESCO is a parastatal. If you scroll back through my older posts, I likely explain what a parastatal is multiple times, but just in case: parastatals are government-run companies. A Zambian technocrat would likely get upset over my semantics, as in the one-party state days, parastatals were government-owned and -run. Anyway, there are few of them left after the orgy of liberalization in the late 90’s that along with the AIDS pandemic left the Zambian landscape a wasteland. Unfortunately, they hung on to ZESCO; Zambia (used?) to get loads of foreign currency by selling power, and it’s a patronage thing … working in ZESCO appears to be a golden ticket given the number of nice cars in there parking lots, and the fact that they have parking lots.

Travelled to Mongu today on the Shalom bus; as usual, it was a numbing, nine hour assault on my senses with endless loop of either gospel or rhumba playing at full volume in order to be heard over the engine and the noise of the dry wind coming through cracked windows to keep the bus from becoming unbearable. Was unnaturally hot in Mongu at 16:30 when we arrived; I later checked our station and found out it peaked around 37° C (99° F) just before that. We are in for it in a big way if it’s already that hot … can’t imagine what October will be like.

August 15th, 2015 - ZNFU Weekly Friday Brief (Week #33)

Excerpts from the ZNFU Weekly Friday Brief, Week 33
--------------------------------------------------------------------

There is an inescapable sense of doom in this one ... the combination of uncertainty over ZESCO and the worry about the next season's rainfall pattern leave me with a bit of a sense that the world is tearing loose from it's moorings. This has been abetted by me finding out Sesame Street is headed to HBO this morning; the surrender of this planet to the worship of money.

As usual, if any ... Author's notes in red:

FRA MAINTAINS MAIZE PURCHASE PRICE…

The Food Reserve Agency (FRA) has maintained its maize purchase price for the 2015/16 marketing season at K70 per 50kg bag or K1, 400 /MT.  The agency will be buying a 40kg bag of rice at K60. The agency has further stated that it would start the purchase of grain next week Monday 17^th August 2015. Eligible farmers will be paid over the counter through identified Financial and Banking institutions after presenting official purchase documents as a way of uploading accountability and governance in the use of public resources. 

Public resources are usually released to the farmers after 4 to 8 months if we're going off past performance of the FRA.

ZESCO LTD URGED TO INCREASE EMERGENCY MEASURES

The power outlook from now until the next rainy season remains gloomy. ZESCO revealed at a meeting with farmers held on 13^th August 2015 that participation in load shedding measures to curb demand has to come from everybody. The mines who are currently not being load shed have been engaged by ZESCO and are expected to furnish ZESCO with details on how they will contribute to reducing their demand for power in two weeks because the country’s generation is on the brink of a shutdown.  From the information shared at the meeting, it was evident that a shutdown at Kariba could occur in early October, if the mines maintain a business as usual stance because then only 68.9 days of power (oh snap) is what is available under this scenario. However, with all participating in load shedding including the mines, generation at Kariba stretches into November resulting in 98.5 days of power becoming available. Wow, the reservoirs don't usually start to fill until New Years' ... particularly when the are as silly low as they are now.

  

Going forward, additional power is expected to come from Itezhi Tezhi, 120 MW in early November and in January 2016, 150MW is expected from Coal Generation by the IPP at Maamba while another 150MW is expected to follow in March 2016 from the same source. However, these being new generation plants, the time frames could vary suddenly as circumstances keep evolving.  In addition, 174 MW emergency power has been secured from Mozambique (wait a minute ... isn't Cabora Bassa downstream of Kariba Dam?) and this will be available until December. Meanwhile, ZESCO indicated that a forecast of power (under different scenarios) for Zambia and the region will only be ready by end August, 2014 (2016) although one of the big unknown factors will be the rainfall pattern for this year.

After deliberations, it was resolved that ZESCO should concentrate on importing as much power as it can to cover the deficit and that ERB should look at the pricing mechanism without delay. There was a general feeling that paying more for imported expensive power given the current circumstances is better than the huge costs associated with running generators.  In addition, engage Government to take immediate measures to reduce the cost of diesel by removing the added taxes so that the cost of running generators reduces. Further, the negative impact of load shedding on the agricultural sector should be clearly stipulated to policy makers because poor performance of the agriculture sector has ramifications on the country’s food security and job levels. This would manifest in rising inflation and macroeconomic instability because as production of food gets affected by load shedding, imports will have to fill the gap and this will put more pressure on the exchange rate.

Just a note ... commercial farmers in Zambia produce a great deal of wheat, some barley, and sugar thanks to the wonder of irrigation. However, pivot irrigation schemes require a great deal of electricity, or all that wheat, barley and sugar won't grow. See next heading below ...

With this gloomy picture, all industries should contribute towards reducing the downside risks of the power deficit on the economy by equitably cutting back on demand for power but priority should be attached to safeguarding producing of food for the nation.    ZESCO Ltd was also requested to step up the visibility of their sensitization campaigns on demand side management in order to reduce wastage of power which is observed in many public places. The Union will be engaging the authorities for action in these areas.

AREA UNDER WHEAT CULTIVATION MOVES UPWARDS IN 2015

The wheat commodity committee met yesterday, 13^th August 2015 to review the preliminary wheat and barley production estimates for 2015 and the current marketing season.  Through remote sensing technology, the preliminary totals are under wheat and barley in Zambia has been estimated at 47,829 hectares. The meeting was informed by the consultant engaged to estimate Zambia’s winter crops production through satellite imagery that separation of the wheat from the barley fields would only be done over the next few weeks as the crops approach maturation and hence will emit more distinct signals. It was highlighted that whilst some farms had reduced their wheat area planted due to expectations of load shedding and reduced water levels, there were new entrants in wheat production especially in Serenje area. It was further noted by the farmers that millers and traders had slowed down in their local wheat purchases as only about 60% of the crop was commitment whilst about the same time last year, 97 percent of the crop was committed. Information from the traders indicated that millers are only signing up contracts with traders for wheat delivered up to January on assumption that millers will be allowed to import wheat again. The meeting resolved that in the event of a deficit, the period for any imports should be between 1^st April, and 31^st July, 2015 in order to allow for all the local wheat to be committed.

The meeting bemoaned the decision by government to issue an additional 11,000MT of wheat import permits and urged that the 31^st August 2015 deadline for all wheat imports to cease should be strictly adhered to and import duty should be reinstated on imports. Government should further be encouraged to adopt the stance taken by South Africa where when global wheat prices fall to a certain threshold, the import duty is revised further upwards to avoid injury on local producers. Earlier on in the year, the Minister of Agriculture and Livestock approved the importation of 75,000MT of wheat duty free. As at end of July, ZRA data revealed that about 59,600MT of wheat had been imported into the country. I sometimes wonder if white "milk" bread is creeping up the charts of Zambia's staple foods.

WATER BLUES HITS MASAITI

Water shortage has hit Masaiti district (up in the Copperbelt where rain is usually decent) with most streams drying up. This development has raised fears mostly among livestock farmers who depend on natural streams for domestic and livestock use. In Michinka area a number of wells have also dried up and people are now walking long distances to fetch for this rare commodity.  Farmers in the area have since appealed to the relevant authority to consider drilling boreholes to mitigate the problem. 

KABOMPO FARMERS WELCOME FRA AS BUYER OF LAST RESORT

Farmers in Kabompo district of North-western province are eager to see the start of the marketing season. This follows the announcement of the maize price by the Food Reserve Agency. Farmers that were spoken to say this exercise has long been awaited as most of them had their maize stacked at satellite depots for over a month now. Speaking when he visited the ZNFU office, Kabompo District Farmers Association chairman Mr. George Munyingu said it was good that the FRA maize price has been announced. Mr. Munyingu has since implored the Government to consider buying the commodity from the rural farmers that have limited options of where to sale their produce.  Mr. Munyingu said buying from the rural farmer will help them with secure markets particularly that the only available millers can only be found about 350 Km away.

Mr. Munyingu said transporting one by 50kg bag on such a distance, costs K15.00 making the cost of production to go high. Mr. Munyingu further hopes that the farmers will be paid on time to enable them plan better for next season.

MUMBWA FARMERS URGED TO WATCH MAIZE MARKET TRENDS

The ZNFU Director, Mr. Richard Lisimba has urged farmers to hold on to their maize crop and only release enough to offset their outstanding loans so that they are paid back on time. This was said during the AGM for Mumbwa DFA that was held on 12^th August, 2015. He informed the meeting that due to poor rains experience in the just ended season, the crop yield was also poor thereby reducing the availability of the commodity on the market. He gave an example of Mongu where the commodity was already trading at K90/50kg bag on the open market.

Meanwhile 47 satellite FRA depots in Western Province have been opened that will be used to purchase maize and rice meant for strategic reserves this marketing season. This came to light when the ZNFU visited the Provincial Marketing Coordinator Mr. Lubasi Nawa at his office in Mongu. Didn't know there was any maize to buy this year ... need to find out where these depots are.... do know they're paying around K80 for a 40kg bag of rice.

May 18, 2015 - Zambia Has Enough Maize

(from the ZNFU weekly update)

ZAMBIA HAS ENOUGH MAIZE DESPITE LOW YIELDS

According to the Crop Forecast Results released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock yesterday, Zambia’s 2014/15 maize production dropped by 21.86 to 2.6 million tons. Despite an increase in the area planted, the national average yield dropped from 2.36 tons per hectare to 1.75tons poor hectare. The yield reductions have been attributed to the poor weather experienced during the seasons.  The country is however expected to have a surplus of around 877,000 MT due to a large carry over stock from the previous season.

During his announcement of the crop forecast results, the Minister of agriculture and Livestock- Honourable Given Lubinda, stated that the Food Reserve Agency would only purchase 500,000MT of maize at a price to be announced later. He further encouraged private sector participation in the 2015/16 marketing season and indicated that the borders would remain open for maize exports as long as national food security is not compromise.

Meanwhile the national Soya beans productions has been forecast up by 5.7 percent to 226,323 MT as the increase in area planted is expected to outweigh the yield reductions. Cotton production has been pegged at 103,889MT. The crop forecast results generally reveal that most crops suffered yield losses. There was however notable increase in the plantings of Irish potatoes especially by the large scale farmer.  

TRADITIONAL LEADER STRATEGIZES FOR INCREASED AGRICULTURE PRODUCTION 

Senior Chief Nkula of the Bemba speaking people of Chinsali has come up with strategies to scale up agriculture in his Chiefdom because the majority of his subjects never take agriculture seriously, resulting into high poverty levels. The traditional leader has put up some strategies which include:

• Setting up of a village committee which will be responsible for giving out traditional land to individual farmers for agricultural purposes, starting from 5 hectares going upwards
• Starting with the 2015/2016 farming season, all subjects will be forced to go to their various farms/fields. A scheduled alarm (bell) will be resounding around 08:00hrs every morning to notify farmers to go to their crop fields and this will be under the serious supervision of chief retainers.

The senior Chief has also encouraged all civil servants in his area to get land so that they become models to others. The people of Nkula Chiefdom have welcomed these strategies because a lot of people are not farming but concentracting on useless vices such as beer drinking. The Chief informed his subjects of his plans during an agricultural camp show held at Nkula camp in his chiefdom this week on Wednesday. 

TOBACCO FARMERS COMPLAIN OF HIGH TRANSPORT CHARGES

Japanese Tobacco International (JTI) and Alliance One have centralised the marketing points of Tobacco.  JTI will conduct Tobacco marketing at their newly built modern facility called Rosewood in Kaoma district while Alliance One will be at their main depot in Nkeyema. Sources have reviewed that the reason for centralising the marketing points was to reduce on possible risks of side marketing and reducing handling costs among others. But Tobacco farmers in Kalumwange and Chitwa Farming Blocs have complained of the cost of transporting Tobacco which will now be tripled. The farmers are worried that the rise in transport costs will negatively affect the profitability of their crop produce. JTI has completely done away with all their satellite depots.

Bio-char Correspondence, A

Hi D -

I've heard your name a billion times because many Zambians tend to think all Americans know one another; however I am familiar with your work with XXXXXX/ XX XXXX and have eaten your peanut butter and breakfast cereal very often. My name is Carl Wahl and I work for Concern Worldwide in Western Province heading up the Conservation Agriculture projects in Mongu, Kaoma, and Senanga (plus many new districts we're not sure of yet). 

I would love to hear more about your bio-mass / charcoal project. Are you trying to do distributed or centralized production? We (NGI, CeLIM, and myself) are working on various ways to make cheap and clean sources of charcoal; NGI and I are more interested in bio-char as a soil amendment because of our incredibly sandy soils; CeLim through Caritas and the Mongu Diocese are looking for ways to make sustainable charcoal. 

Currently, I'm been banging around with a TLUD system using a very slightly modified 55 gallon drum. Great if you have a uniform product of sufficient size to ensure airflow (e.g. bamboo or pigeon pea stems), but I think you'd need some forced air and a good draft for things like rice husks / sawdust. The big thing with smaller diameter feedstock is that it's hard to get good combustion of the gases driven of by the pyrolysis ... without that, you get a very smoky (and GHG-wise a very dirty) burn. 

Another thing I'm likely going to pilot at Kasisi in the next month or two is a double-drum system, e.g. a smaller diameter drum filled with feedstock upside-down inside a 55-gallon drum; in the airspace between the drums, you pack in a dry fuelsource that "bakes" the feedstock in the inner drum, eventually flaring off the volatiles in a relatively clean process. However, you need to gather additional biomass to get the process going. 

One thing we have identified for sure with the CeLim folks: making briquettes from bimass feedstock using an extruder and then making the charcoal hasn't worked very well, as the charring process weakens the briquettes and makes a lighter density, cold-burning (relatively) product. We'd like to figure out a way to make the char first, crush the char, mix with an adherent (e.g., shredded and boiled cassava), and then extrude.

Blah-blah-blah. Would enjoy meeting up with you sometime and chatting about what worked in XXXXXXX province as we did some of the same stuff in Senanga. 

Best,

Carl 

A September to Remember

We're having an odd (?) spat of wind and lightning. I have so long been blissfully ignorant of the contents of the sky above that upon leaving the office this afternoon, I revealed in the usual shock one gets from seeing clouds when so long without.

That's not quite right ... I was home for most of the month of August following my birthday and the CARWG conference, and it rained plenty a couple of times. However, I have so perfectly separated the here from the there that vacation seems as if it happened to another person. Simon & Garfunkel weren't kidding when they said "Michigan [and Indiana and New Orleans] seems like a dream to me now."

Back in the here, September has been somewhat ludicrously sweltering; by the time I got back to Mongu on the 8th, temps were starting to hit 35C; yesterday, it finally topped 40C. For the audience back home, that's 95F up to 105F. It is a dry heat, thank God ... and the nature of the soil causes most of the heat to radiate up and out an hour or so after dark. However, this large shoddily armored knight sleeps mostly on top of the bed's dust cover, alternating between fitful dreams of the Lake Superior shoreline and sweaty wakefulness staving off the ever-present specter of regret.

Eventually 5:15 rolls around about the same time I'm finally dozing off; the cell phone alarm ding-dongs a number of times before I roll out and mash the keypad trying to silence its blaring. Such a chump now ... used to roll out of bed instantly awake; now I feel like a tottering fool in the morning, unable to find my bathroom slippers (flip-flops) and stumbling barefoot to the bathroom. After hauling on my shorts and a t-shirt, stretching, I wake the guard from his deep slumber on my porch and head out for training.

Any time someone in Zambia is running with shorts and a t-shirt, people refer to it as "training" ... there has to be a point to running, such as an upcoming football match, or, ermmm, a football match. No one runs to lose weight in this culture; why the hell would someone not want to be fat? I plod along and think of little other than the fire in my lungs and avoiding the invariable gentlemen steering their bicycles home to the village with the rolled up corrugated steel sheet strapped perpendicular to the long axis of his bike. Or the taxis, which believe they'll get better mileage if they don't turn on their lights. Or the Chinese ...

Ah ... the Chinese. I've not touched that hot-button topic much since I've started this blog. The Chinese are in Mongu for the same reason many Chinese are in Zambia or Africa as a whole: they are building something. In our case, it is a dual project; repair of the roads around Mongu town, and the road across the floodplains connecting Kalabo on the Angola border to Mongu, the rest of Zambia, and sensu stricto or otherwise, the rest of the world. The former is happening in a circle around my house, and as is their wont, the Chinese get the crews on the road early and keep them working late. It's been wonderful for the already staggering colloid levels in the air; their is a constant aura of dust that at times makes people appear as spirits emerging into and fading out of view. Most of the dust comes from their hauling clay out of Mawawa pan 14 km east of town in long, jolting convoys of Dong Fang tipper [dump] trucks and taking it out into the Barotse floodplains to build the roadbed.

Knock down those pronouns; "their" in this case is mostly China Geo's (the company's) local hires; it seems an essential element of this sort of work is to hire tons of guys at cheap wages; if you quit, there is always someone else who wants to purchase skinny jeans and soon-to-break oversized headphones who can lean on a shovel with the best of them. However, real Chinese employees are not few, and totally unlike most NGOs do not bother with the assumption or pretension that nationals will do the job. Each job has a Chinese supervisor somewhere, typically smoking, donning a boiler suit, and wearing a straw hat with an oversized brim (hence my disaffection of such haberdashery ... I got tired of kids calling me a Chinese, using the racial epithet "cho-choli", or shouting "shey-shey-shey-shey-shey" at me). One cannot figure how they supervise lacking either English or siLozi, but they accomplish much with pointing and shouting things like "you work!" or "you dig".

I can't wait for October to go by ... we need the washing badly.

Good Things Come in Threes!

Last Monday on the heels of a horrible day in Lusaka that involved a visit to the post office (2 hours), Northmead for a meeting with other agencies over Conservation Agriculture (2 hours), Makeni [CAMCO] where I was testing a not-so-efficient rice grader whilst arguing with the manager over the lack of quality (1 hour), pulling my hair out in Mt. Makulu trying to get the prices for pre-basic (foundation) seed (1 hour), and practicing nose-breathing whilst in the car stuck in Lusaka traffic (?? hours), I came back to the office after 6 p.m. to find out that I have had a paper published in the Journal of Agricultural Sustainability that is somewhat eponymous with the URL of this site. I tip my hat to my adviser, Dr. Bill Bland, on that one ... it was his persistence that kept the paper alive. I need to get a copy to the host family back in Monze (which I just realized I haven't visited in 1.5 years ...)

Tuesday was even better ... Accenture agreed to fund phase II of the CA programme in Zambia and Malawi, doubling it's funding amounts to $3.2 million for another three years. It's really exciting as it means I have a job past February next year (*** A brief aside ... one of the worst parts of development work is that your jobs aren't neither long-tenured or secure. ***) It is the culmination of about six months of project concept notes, proposal writing, budgeting, etc., etc. Real team effort on that one between our guys in Dublin, Malawi, and here.

Sunday, I bought a rice cooker (ironically the same Sunbeam (C) model I owned in the States; purchased it from Game in Lusaka, owned by Mass-Mart, owned in turn by Wal-Mart ... flattening world indeed). That seems really blase, but it really cuts down on the soupy rice.

Greetings my few readers! 

Here is an example of what we refer to as a political (and economic) agroecological context. 

Slightly over two months ago, the Zambian government (for reasons that remain a well of speculation) entirely dropped the subsidies on fuel and cut the subsidies for maize production / consumption. It was greeted at first with confusion that soon turned into anger, particularly with the 15% jump in fuel prices. The Zambian economy, including the small-scale farmers who are still consumers of things like sugar, cooking oil, clothes, etc., etc., suddenly saw their costs jump 20% literally overnight, as everything in this country depends on fuel. This was abetted in no small part by the fact that every can use fuel prices as an excuse to squeeze out some more profit, particularly as the chain from producer to consumer involves on average, four or five exchanges of goods (manufacturer -> regional wholesaler -> local wholesaler -> rural trucker -> retailer [tuck shop] -> consumer).

The maize subsidy reduction didn't kick up that much ruckus; however, my suspicion is that the cuts to FISP (Farmer Inputs Support Programme) won't be recognized until much closer to the farming season; oh, how will people holler when they have to pay half (rather than a fifth) of the price.

Anyway ... suddenness of the announcement caught everyone off-guard (including the government representatives, who appeared not to know about it). The sudden bump in consumer prices got everyone buzzing, and their was an order issued for government ministers to explain the reason for the reduction in subsidies; it is claimed that the money freed up will be used for rural development. 

As a guest in this country, I don't cross some lines of discussion, particularly in a public forum. I can say though that in my past experiences working around FISP, maize production and purchase subsidies have created a forcing context that seems to discourage crop diversification; this is particularly acute in the areas (esp. the current region, Western) that I've worked in that are marginal at best for maize production; to whit, our district average maize yield in Mongu was 0.38 t/ha ... that is like planting two football fields to maize and getting 8 x 50kg bags. To put that in context, farmers in Iowa achieve something like >8t/ha; even commercial farmers here achieve 5~6t/ha. Farmers grow maize due to it's historically monolithic support by the government, and any move away from that is a step in the right direction. Mark my words ... it will be a shock to the agricultural system of Zambia as significant as an ecological event. 

Below are scans of the leaflet released two weeks ago (the English version and the Lozi translation).

Lessons learned [learnt]

Ugh ... time goes by like a spinning wheel while you feel like your spinning your wheels.

Neglecting a blog I guess isn't that big a deal, especially one as inspiring and as popular as mine. It's only the legacy that you used to post more often that drives you to post again, though with less frequency than before.

However, this is an agroecological blog; despite personal contexts being relative constraining to my particular holon, the universe that is Zambian agriculture stumbles along. May is roughly the beginning of autumn (if such a Westernization of the climate can be thus approximated) in terms of weather; however, the harvest started for most around the Ides of March. The above normal, but poorly distributed rainfall pattern crushed the maize crops in most cases; that three-week dry spell in the latter half of January and early February put away all chances of food security for the nonce. Most of the project farmers have called their conventional harvest a loss; the Conservation Agriculture was somewhat less so, but many of the poorest beneficiaries have already consumed whatever they grew and are already turning to other livelihood strategies, mainly basket fishing and piecework (food-for-labor). The groundnuts and bean crops were a failure as well; the groundnuts just can't find enough calcium in between the large particles of sand (not that it would matter anyway with the soil so dry that there was none in plant available form), and the beans were a magnet to every critter south of the Congo.

In the NGOs world, you never admit failure. Even if the walls are coming down around your head, you never say anything to the effect of "that was a big mistake" or "we shouldn't have done that". There is doubtless a great fear of failure, or admitting failure, because of the expectation that donor funding may   clamp down, shut off, end, etc. Instead, you refer to ongoing failures as "challenges" and confirmed failure as "lessons learned" [learnt in the Queen's Eng]). Some of our failures can be spun as follows:

Failure #1. Sugar beans should not have been selected as a third crop.
LL #1:       In future programming, sugar beans should not be utilized as a rotation crop.

Failure #2:  Selection of beneficiaries was incorrectly done and inadequately verified by staff and partners due to the high ratio of beneficiaries to officers, meaning numerous extremely poor beneficiaries were excluded from the programme.
LL #2:        Community leaders need to be sensitized in beneficiary selection criteria.

I could go on but I won't. This year logistically went the best of all three, but the heavens failed us. How do you write a lessons learned for poor rainfall distribution? Who do you blame? Where do you point the finger?

Oh well; I keep remembering what Grant said to Sherman on the evening of first day of the Battle of Shiloh (TN):

Sherman encountered Grant under a tree, sheltering himself from the pouring rain. He was smoking one of his cigars while considering his losses and planning for the next day. Sherman remarked, "Well, Grant, we've had the devil's own day, haven't we?" Grant looked up. "Yes," he replied, followed by a puff. "Yes. Lick 'em tomorrow, though."

Guess P.T.G. Beauregard didn't apply his lessons learnt. Now we just need to find our own Don Carlos Buell.